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Geoffrey G's avatar

I love this entire argument and you have me convinced and therefore in thrall to your provocative truths and subsequent status that I hope to tap into over time for my own purposes by reading your Substack.

However, one nagging and very fundamental question occurs to me:

You never said (or proved) *why* interesting stuff is "overrated" and why reality is actually preferable to bullshit.

And, I especially found this statement unfounded: "If there’s one thing that’s preventing us from connecting with our fellow human beings, it’s this perverse obsession we have with being interesting." Isn't that the very thing you spent the whole essay explaining that helps us connect with our fellow human beings? Our grandiloquent bullshitting ability?

Again, you spent an entire essay talking about how bullshit is more interesting than reality because, basically, we "guys literally only want one thing and it's f*cking disgusting!" WE WANT TO FIT IN. That's really the prime directive for a humanity that survives best in groups. It's the most adaptive thing we do!

If fitting in requires a total abrogation of reality, so be it! So, then, maybe it's reality that is overrated! Or maybe a *certain kind of reality* the (theoretical) kind that exists outside of our social world and human, subjective, brain-saddled cognitive models.

Because the reality that matters for humans is social reality. Human life, like other life, (seems, at least to our status-hungry evolutionary biologists) to be all about survival and reproduction. And the killer app humans found to survive and reproduce and become the dominant complex life form on the planet is to socially coordinate with other humans. The more we do this, the greater our individual chances of both. Status has clear evolutionary utility. And, therefore, so, too does bullshit.

Remember that famous quote attributed to a Bush Administration aide by Ron Suskind:

"The aide said that guys like me were 'in what we call the reality-based community,' which he defined as people who 'believe that solutions emerge from your judicious study of discernible reality.' [...] 'That's not the way the world really works anymore,' he continued. 'We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors...and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do'."

This is appalling, cynical, and hubristic, but I now think I appreciate it's deeper truth after having endured the Trump Era. Is not "Teflon Don" the best paragon for the practical usefulness of bullshit? He's got two impeachments, two divorces, six bankruptcies, thousands of civil suits, two active criminal indictments to his name, and (most damningly) two electoral defeats but he is STILL the theoretical front-runner for the Presidency of the United States. And even after all his bullshitty predations (and those of the country underneath him), the United States is STILL the most powerful country on the planet. Despite... or BECAUSE... of all its bullshit? You tell me! Because it's not just Donald Trump's MAGA bullshit that is so captivating at home and abroad. But all that considerable soft power that the US has always wielded is, by your definition, also bullshit. Even the much preferable Obama Era "Hope and Change" and his famous eloquence and ability to inspire us to "the better angels of our nature." I mean, what is that, if not bullshit? I liked it, too, but it's bullshit. It's just much nicer bullshit. And, like the MAGA bullshit, it was very good at motivating groups of people to coordinate.

Another way of putting it was the title of the recent book by Peter Pomerantsev about the "post-truth" world of Putin's Russia: "Nothing is True and Everything is Possible." Putin is, if anything, very full of bullshit. But it "works" for him, doesn't it? He's still in power after two decades. He's perhaps quietly the richest man on the planet. Russia seems to run on fumes, but it runs yet, despite the many many rumors of its collapse. Putin uses his bullshit to coordinate his countrymen to an unlikely degree so that they put up with outrageous untruths and unreasonable hardships toward... what? "Greatness!" "The Russian Mir!" Bullshit.

But hey now... the limiting factor to bullshit, I hear you saying, is that eventually Reality wins, right? You can't bullshit forever! Putin is certainly learning this in Ukraine right now. We did in Iraq, Afghanistan, Vietnam, et al. (Or did we learn...?) Sure, and we may well bullshit our way to oblivion as a species this century because of Climate Change, nuclear war, the AI apocalypse or whatever. But, from the perspective of a single organism in a social species, it is always better to maximize for short-term than long-term. Blag on now and leave the consequences to your future self. You'll be better prepared for the backlash when you consolidate your social position now, anyway. The jury is more kind to the rich and sexy! Anyway, even if you think you're so rational and non-bullshitty, the future is always uncertain and we have extremely limited control over it. What you can control right now, though, is how good of a bullshitter you are and therefore how socially successful you are. So do that!

But what about the immediate utility of understanding some basics about reality and not making stupid choices? You don't get the Manhattan Project and world-ending nuclear weapons with just bullshit, right? No. But you don't get the massive social coordination that made the Manhattan Project successful without thermonuclear levels of bullshit. J. Robert Oppenheimer isn't going to go against all his core principles without placating him with a lot of bullshit. Nor are you going to convince 130,000 workers (including some of the world's premier geniuses) to pack up and move to the desert and carry out some mysterious tasks in secret without bullshit narratives about The National Interest, etc. A lot of those scientists were now on their second or third round of jingoistic bullshit, riding around on different regimes with different flavors of bullshit to coordinate their efforts toward some other dubious bullshit like the racial imperative for eradicating the Jews or bathing Eastern Europe in blood in the name of Lebensraum. But the United States was better at bullshit than the Germans or anyone else at that time, so we got the A-Bomb and rockets to the Moon and epically cool stuff that... fundamentally doesn't matter, either, except to, yep... DISPLAY OUR GROUP'S SUPERIORITY.

This reduces all of human history to bullshit, I know. But I just went one step further than you in your provocative thesis. And I'm arguing that the reason nobody wants to get over their bullshit is that bullshit is really useful. Even if/when the future gets hella bad from all our bullshit, whom do you think will survive? The practical, reasonable people? No! Nobody likes them! The bullshitters will inherit the earth! Or what's left of it, anyway...

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Suhas Kashyap's avatar

Nice writing, and it makes a good case. But ignores that some inflaming thoughts that rile people up are the truths of tomorrow, which today's(in historical concepts) inertia doesn't accept, such as:

Heliocentrism: The Earth revolves around the Sun, not vice versa.

Evolution: Species evolve over time through natural selection.

Germ Theory: Diseases are caused by microorganisms, not miasma or supernatural forces.

Democracy: The idea that people have the right to choose their leaders and have a say in governance, and not a god-given birthright

Secularism: Separation of religion and state affairs.

Relativity: Time and space are not absolute but relative and interconnected.

Quantum Mechanics: Particles can exist in multiple states simultaneously until observed.

I feel that the author and this piece is projecting their cynicism about the scientific method and advocating for inertia " We’re interested in contrarian hot takes, even though the conventional wisdom is usually truer and more useful. ". This presupposes humanity has reached its peak and has nowhere else to go.

It might be true that a vast amount of 'interesting' things might be reputation signaling and social cues, but it takes only a few people to show that the current consensus is outdated. For example, while tinkering, a couple of bicycle mechanics showed that flying is possible, aka the Wright Brothers. Before that, it was thought to be entirely impossible.

The replication crisis is a systemic headwind in academia with the 'publish or perish' mandate, and the scientists are actors in a system where the incentives are broken. But that doesn't mean the scientific method is broken; it is entirely the only way humanity has come to reach for objective truths. I would argue that it is wonderful that there is a replication crisis so that you can junk the articles which don't take humanity forward.

In summary, I would have argued for more critical thinking in those who find 'interesting' and for considering the boring interesting(life lessons from the classics), rather than quelling the interesting altogether.

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